Uncertainty in some states as PH government collapses

KUALA LUMPUR: The exit of Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia (Bersatu) from Pakatan Harapan (PH) and a split in PKR has left some state governments facing uncertainties, with fear of a collapse, similar to what's happening at the federal level.

Not only did Bersatu leave PH, 11 MPs from PKR are also no longer with the ruling coalition, saying they would form an independent bloc in Parliament.

This leaves PH with 92 seats, compared to their previous majority of 129 prior to today's developments.

In Perlis which is a Barisan Nasional (BN) administered state, PKR has three seats and Bersatu has one seat in the 15 strong state assembly, which as such is unlikely to see any changes.

In Kedah which is a PH administered state headed by Datuk Mukhriz Mahathir, the pact at the moment has 19 seats; PKR (7), Bersatu (6), Amanah (4) and DAP (2) while BN and PAS have a combined 17 state seats.

With a slim two seat margin majority, it is unlikely for the current PH state government to continue, and changes are possible. This situation appears to be similar in Perak.

In the 59 seats Perak State Assembly, PH currently holds 30 seats; DAP (16), Amanah (6), PKR (4) and Bersatu (4), whereas BN and Pas have a combined 28 seats.

In Penang, with 40 seats in the state assembly, PH has 37 seats; DAP (19), PKR (14), with Amanah and Bersatu having two seats each, whereas BN and PAS have three seats.

For there to be any change in the Pearl of the Orient, the state lawmakers from PKR, Amanah and Bersatu would need to join the combination of BN/PAS. Even then it would only see them possessing a mere three seat margin.

In the 56 seats Selangor State Assembly, PH has 50; PKR (21), DAP (16), Amanah (8) and Bersatu (5), while BN and PAS have 6.

For the Selangor government to change, it would need to see major movements of PKR members standing on the same side as Bersatu.

In Melaka where there are 28 seats in the State Assembly, it is a bit more dicey. This, as PH holds 15 seats; DAP (8), PKR (3), Amanah (2) and Bersatu (2) whereas BN has 13 seats. Any movement of seats from Bersatu or PKR is likely to doom the current state government.

In the Negri Sembilan State Assembly which has a total of 36 seats, PH has 20 seats; DAP (11), PKR (6), Amanah (3), while BN has 16 seats. Any major movements by PKR might lead to PH losing the state government.

In the Johor State Assembly which has 56 seats, PH has 39 seats; DAP (14), Bersatu (11), Amanah (9) and PKR (5), while BN and PAS have a combined seat of 17.

Following Bersatu’s exit at the national level, if the state Bersatu follows suit and leaves, it would leave the pact with 28 seats. If Bersatu and BN join forces, it would lead to a hung government as both sides of the aisle would possess the same number of seats.

In the BN-led Pahang government, PH has only nine seats; DAP (7), and PKR (2) in the 42 seats state assembly. BN has 25 seats, while PAS has 8. No changes are likely to affect the state assembly or the state government.

In the 32 seats Terengganu State Assembly, there is no PH representation, with seats divided between the PAS ruling government (23) and BN (10). No changes are likely to take place.

The same situation can be seen in Kelantan where PH only has one seat, via Bersatu, in the 45 seats state assembly. PAS has 37 seats in the state, while BN has 7.

In the 82 strong Sarawak State Assembly, the ruling Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) holds 68 seats, with PBB (47), PRS (11), SUPP (7) and PDP (3), whereas PH has nine seats; DAP (6) and PKR (3), while another four seats are held by PBS.

With GPS having a huge number, Sarawak is likely to see any changes.

In Sabah, which has 60 seats in its state assembly, Parti Warisan Sabah (Warisan) has 33. PH holds 19 with Bersatu (9), DAP (7) and PKR (3), while Gabungan Bersatu Sabah made-up of PBS, PBRS, STAR and SAPP have seven seats, while BN has one.

Even if there is movement involving Bersatu and PKR in the state assembly, it is unlikely to see changes.

It is likely that if any political chess movements involving PKR and Bersatu seeps to the state level, changes might take place in Kedah, Perak, Negri Sembilan and Melaka, while Johor may see a hung government.

Sumber: https://www.nst.com.my/news/politics/2020/02/568637/uncertainty-some-states-ph-government-collapses
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